基于GNN-LLM的复杂系统抽象网络根因分析方法
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国防科工局基础科研项目(JCKY2023009C004);四川省科技计划项目(2024NSFTD0049);四川省科技成果转移转化示范项目(2024ZHCG0002)


Root Cause Analysis Method for Abstract Network of Complex Systems Based on GNN-LLM
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    摘要:

    针对传统因果推断方法在根因分析中难以有效建模多维指标间的非线性依赖,且可解释性低等问题,提出一种融合图神经网络(graph neural network,GNN)与大语言模型(large language model,LLM)的因果溯源框架。将复杂装备和系统等对象建模为对等抽象网络,通过单节点与全图级别的因果分析策略,结合GNN的结构建模能力与LLM的知识推理能力,构建自系统级到干预级的多层次解释体系。仿真网络数据集结果显示:在无需先验知识的情况下,该方法实现了具有竞争力的预测性能与更强的解释能力,其中全图因果溯源在保持高精度(MSE=0.042 8)的同时提供全局关系视角,结合真实先验的模型在误差指标上最优。结果表明,该方法不仅拓展了大模型在复杂系统根因分析中的应用边界,而且为智能运维与异常诊断提供了一条可扩展且具备解释性的技术路径。

    Abstract:

    In order to solve the problem that the traditional causal inference method is difficult to effectively model the nonlinear dependence between multi-dimensional indicators in root cause analysis, and the interpretability is low, a fusion of graph neural network (GNN) and large language model (LLM) causal traceability framework are proposed. Complex equipment and systems are modeled as peer-to-peer abstract networks, and a multi-level explanation system from system level to intervention level is constructed through the causal analysis strategy of single node and full graph level, combined with the structural modeling ability of GNN and the knowledge reasoning ability of LLM. The results of simulation network datasets show that the proposed method achieves competitive prediction performance and stronger explanatory power without prior knowledge, in which the full graph causal traceability provides a global relationship perspective while maintaining a high accuracy (MSE = 0.042 8), and the model combined with the true prior is optimal in the error index. The results show that this method not only expands the application boundary of large model in the root cause analysis of complex systems, but also provides an extensible and interpretable technical path for intelligent operation and maintenance and anomaly diagnosis.

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刘雪峰.基于GNN-LLM的复杂系统抽象网络根因分析方法[J].,2026,45(04).

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  • 收稿日期:2024-12-02
  • 最后修改日期:2025-01-15
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  • 在线发布日期: 2026-05-11
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