机载弹药技术准备人为差错影响因素分析
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Analysis of Human Error Influencing Factors in Airborne Ammunition Technical Preparation
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    摘要:

    为有效预防人为差错事故,运用德尔菲法对机载弹药技术准备人为差错影响因素进行分析。构建人为差错影响因素层次结构模型,利用专家评判结果相似度进行专家赋权,采用模糊层次分析法(fuzzy analytic hierarchy process,FAHP)对人为差错影响因素进行分析。以某次演习演练机载弹药保障为例进行分析。实例结果表明:对机载弹药技术准备人为差错影响因素进行定量分析,对影响因素优先控制次序进行排序,可为后续研究制定规避措施,预防人为差错事故,圆满完成战训任务提供较为重要的意义。

    Abstract:

    In order to effectively prevent human error accidents, the influencing factors of human error in airborne ammunition technical preparation were analyzed by Delphi method. The hierarchical structure model of human error influencing factors is constructed, and the similarity of expert evaluation results is used to determine the weight of experts, and the fuzzy analytic hierarchy process (FAHP) is used to analyze the human error influencing factors. The airborne ammunition support of an exercise is analyzed as an example. The example results show that the quantitative analysis of the human error influencing factors of airborne ammunition technical preparation and the priority control sequence of the influencing factors can provide more important significance for the follow-up study to formulate avoidance measures, prevent human error accidents and successfully complete the combat training mission.

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路翠华.机载弹药技术准备人为差错影响因素分析[J].,2025,44(11).

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  • 收稿日期:2024-10-06
  • 最后修改日期:2024-11-06
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  • 在线发布日期: 2025-12-02
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